The discipline of a trading desk

Every pick is a position with a priced edge.

Every edge is priced, measured against the closing line, and sized with discipline. The full record is audited and public, drawdowns included.

TRACKING 85D129 GRADED5 LEAGUESCLV 43.8%
Live resultsTracking live
Recently settled
  • Jun 26LSoccer Australia Winner PAR at AUS | USA Winner TUR at USA-0.70u
  • Jun 26LSoccer Both Teams To Score BTTS Japan vs Sweden | Over 2.5 goals scored Total Goals Japan vs Sweden-1.50u
  • Jun 26LSoccer Sweden Winner JPN at SWE-2.00u
  • Jun 25LSoccer Germany Winner ECU at GER | Over 1.5 goals scored Total Goals Ecuador vs Germany-1.50u
  • Jun 25LSoccer Ivory Coast wins by more than 1.5 goals Spread Curacao vs Ivory Coast | Over 2.5 goals scored Total Goals Curacao vs Ivory Coast-1.63u
Track record // cumulative net units
Net units+0.0u
ROI+5.6%
Win rate55.8%
CLV beat43.8%
Max drawdown13.1u
The system

Not tips. A disciplined process with a measurable edge.

01

Expected value first

We take a position only when the price is out of line with our model. No edge, no bet. The number has to be wrong in our favor.

02

Closing line value

Every position is measured against the closing number. Beating the close over a large sample is the proof that the edge was real.

03

Disciplined sizing

Size scales with conviction, never with emotion. One unit is one percent of bankroll, stated on every position.

04

The sample over the streak

Variance is loud, edge is quiet. We publish the entire sample, cold weeks included, so the record actually means something.

Inside a pick

Every pick is a fully priced position.

Not a one line alert. Each pick is a complete position: the game, the play, the exact price, the size, and the closing line value once it settles.

Matchup
League, market, and the game, read at a glance.
The play and the price
The exact selection, the odds we took, and the unit size.
Desk read
Closing line value on every graded pick, so the edge is measurable.
Tiered access
Lower tiers see a locked teaser. Your tier unlocks the body.
NBAtotal
Won

NuggetsvsSuns

Pick
Nuggets team total over 112.5
2.0uhigh conviction
-108+1.85u

Number opened soft and the market never corrected. Pace and rest line up with the model, and we are paid a better price than the projection.

Desk readclose -119CLV +4.7%
NFL
Aug 28

EaglesvsCowboys

Syndicate and upUnlock to view

Illustrative cards. Live results are computed from real graded picks.

Performance

Computed live from graded picks. Never entered by hand.

Net units+7.2u+7.2u this year
ROI on turnover+5.6%128.2u staked
Win rate55.8%72 W, 57 L
CLV beat rate43.8%+31.4% avg

Equity curve // cumulative net units

Max drawdown 13.1u

By league // net units

  • Soccer60% · 70 picks
    +3.85u
  • Tennis64.3% · 14 picks
    +3.25u
  • MLB100% · 3 picks
    +2.25u
  • MMA47.2% · 36 picks
    -0.77u
  • NBA16.7% · 6 picks
    -1.35u

Closing line value

44%
Beat the close+31.36% average

Monthly profit // net units, last 8 months

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Bankroll calculator

See what the record would have returned at your stake.

Set your bet size, your tier, and a window. This replays every graded pick that tier would have received and shows the running profit or loss.

Bet size per play
$per play
Your tier
Timeframe
Profit and loss
+$362
Across 129 graded picks
Profit and loss
Win rate
55.8%
Return on stake
+5.6%
Max drawdown
-$654

This is the real graded record scaled to your bet size, including the losing stretches. Past results are not a prediction and not a promise of profit. Losing is possible.

Pricing

Start where you want. Scale when you are ready.

Free trial

3 days of full All Access.

$1 today for 3 days of full access, then your chosen tier's monthly price. Cancel anytime before it converts.

Start the trial

Day Pass

$15

Ride a single slate. All Access for 24 hours, no renewal.

Buy

Week Pass

$35

Take a full weekend or week. All Access for 7 days, no renewal.

Buy

Core

The daily card, sized and explained.

$49/mo
  • All standard daily picks
  • Recommended unit sizing on every play
  • The reasoning behind each position
  • Full graded results history
Subscribe to Core
Most popular

Sharp

The full desk. Model, closing line value, and live.

$99/mo
  • Everything in Core
  • Premium high conviction positions
  • Full model and closing line value breakdowns
  • Live in-game and near-tip picks
  • Line move alerts
Subscribe to Sharp
Capped seats

Syndicate

First look. Capped seats. Direct access.

$249/mo
  • Everything in Sharp
  • Picks released to Syndicate first
  • Capped seats, never diluted
  • One to one staking review note
Subscribe to Syndicate

Prices in USD. A sports information and analysis subscription. No outcome or profit is promised. Cancel anytime from your account.

Transparency

The proof is the entire record, not a highlight reel.

A screenshot of a winner proves nothing. Our complete graded history is public and permanent, every result kept exactly as it landed. Read all of it before you subscribe.

  • Every pick is timestamped in the app before the event starts.
  • Every result is graded against the closing number, so closing line value is recorded on each position.
  • The full record is public, drawdowns and losing weeks included.
  • Nothing is deleted or revised after the fact. The sample stands as it is.
Questions

Straight answers.

What do I get?

Picks delivered inside the app, gated by your tier. Core gets the standard daily card with sizing and reasoning. Sharp adds premium positions, the model and closing line value breakdowns, and live in-game picks. Syndicate sees picks first and has capped seats.

Is this betting advice?

No. Apex Picks is a sports information and analysis subscription, for entertainment and informational purposes only. It is not financial, investment, or betting advice, and no outcome or profit is promised. You make your own decisions.

How is the record verified?

Every pick is timestamped in the app before the event, then graded against the closing number once it settles. The full graded history is public, including the cold stretches. Nothing is deleted after the fact.

What is a unit?

One unit equals one percent of your bankroll. Sizing is published on every pick as a recommendation, not advice. It scales with conviction, not emotion.

What is closing line value?

It is the difference between the price you took and the price at the close. Consistently beating the close, over a real sample, is the clearest sign that an edge was actually there.

How does the trial work?

The trial is 3 days of full All Access. A card is required up front. It converts to the monthly tier you chose unless you cancel before it ends. Cancel during the trial and you are not billed.

Can I cancel, and do passes renew?

You can cancel a subscription anytime from your account, and you keep access through the period you paid for. Day and week passes are one time and never renew.